Brexit: ‘No-deal scenario worse for NI than backstop’

A no-deal Brexit would be much worse for the Northern Ireland economy than a scenario in which an NI-backstop is triggered, official government analysis suggests.

It estimates that in a no-deal scenario, NI goods exports would fall by as much as £1.6bn compared to a backstop scenario.

Most of the damage would be borne by the agri-food sector.

It estimates this sector would take a hit of between £700m and £1.1bn.